TRENDS RESEARCH & ADVISORY

Tuesday, May 2, 2017, 3:44 pm
Sign up for Newsletter

image

image
“Iranian presidential election to send message about Obama’s nuclear deal”

“Iranian presidential election to send message about Obama’s nuclear deal”

May 2, 2017 3:44 pm

The Washington Times interviews Dr. Ahmed Al Hamli and Dr. Richard Burchill:

But with Iran’s relations with its Sunni Muslim rivals across the region increasingly tense, many analysts say a major shift coming out of the May 19 vote is unlikely. Skeptics say the Assembly of Experts will find a way — regardless of who holds the Iranian presidency — to ensure that Ayatollah Khamenei’s confrontational foreign policy goals endure.

“The successor will be dedicated to the revolutionary agenda of Iran, which is about destabilizing the region,” said Ahmed Al Hamli, founder and president of Trends Research & Advisory, an Abu Dhabi-based think tank focused on Middle Eastern developments.

“When it comes to the Iranian system, while the constitution exists, the overall system is driven by the belief in a divine authority who controls all aspects of state, including who [Khamenei‘s] successor will be,” Mr. Al Hamli said in a recent interview.

“The next president of Iran is unlikely to have any decisive role to play if the view is less revolutionary than others,” said Richard Burchill, the head of research and engagement at Trends.

“We will spend a great deal of energy on guessing who the next supreme leader will be, but it is likely the matter has already been decided,” Mr. Burchill said. “In the current situation, the next supreme leader will need to be strongly against the West and Iran’s neighbors.”

To read the full article, follow this link: http://www.washingtontimes.com/news/2017/may/1/obama-nuclear-deal-on-iran-presidential-ballot/

Tags:



  • Youth and Sustainable Peace
    Feature Blog

    Youth and Sustainable Peace

    Children and young people suffer the most from the impact of war and in post conflict rebuilding.  According to a recent Save the Children report, children and young people are more at risk in conflict situations now, than they have been at any time in the last 20 years....


  • The Continued Presence of the Islamic State in the Khorasan Province
    Asia & the Pacific

    The Continued Presence of the Islamic State in the Khorasan Province

    The Islamic State has lost almost all of its territory across Iraq and Syria. However, since 2014, it has underhandedly entered the Khorasan region, which covers territory in parts of Iran, Pakistan and Afghanistan. Officially established on 10 January 2015, the affiliate group is known as Islamic State-Khorasan Province...


  • Understanding the drivers of radicalization among Syrians
    Insights

    Understanding the drivers of radicalization among Syrians

    Introduction Long considered a moderate Muslim country, Syria has become one of the world’s most radicalized conflict zones. Despite its peaceful and political origins, the civil-war has allowed Daesh and likeminded violent radical groups to turn the country into a recruiting ground and operating base. The significant local and...


  • UAE Energy Diplomacy and Sustainable Global Development
    Energy Diplomacy

    UAE Energy Diplomacy and Sustainable Global Development

    The Agenda for Humanity has aimed to overcome the humanitarian – development divide for the sake of more responsibility and sustainability. A range of international institutions, such as FAO, UNHCR, UNDP, UNFPA, UNICEF, to name a few, has been combining efforts to develop a common approach to achievement of...