TRENDS RESEARCH & ADVISORY

Tuesday, May 2, 2017, 3:44 pm
Sign up for Newsletter

image

image
“Iranian presidential election to send message about Obama’s nuclear deal”

“Iranian presidential election to send message about Obama’s nuclear deal”

May 2, 2017 3:44 pm

The Washington Times interviews Dr. Ahmed Al Hamli and Dr. Richard Burchill:

But with Iran’s relations with its Sunni Muslim rivals across the region increasingly tense, many analysts say a major shift coming out of the May 19 vote is unlikely. Skeptics say the Assembly of Experts will find a way — regardless of who holds the Iranian presidency — to ensure that Ayatollah Khamenei’s confrontational foreign policy goals endure.

“The successor will be dedicated to the revolutionary agenda of Iran, which is about destabilizing the region,” said Ahmed Al Hamli, founder and president of Trends Research & Advisory, an Abu Dhabi-based think tank focused on Middle Eastern developments.

“When it comes to the Iranian system, while the constitution exists, the overall system is driven by the belief in a divine authority who controls all aspects of state, including who [Khamenei‘s] successor will be,” Mr. Al Hamli said in a recent interview.

“The next president of Iran is unlikely to have any decisive role to play if the view is less revolutionary than others,” said Richard Burchill, the head of research and engagement at Trends.

“We will spend a great deal of energy on guessing who the next supreme leader will be, but it is likely the matter has already been decided,” Mr. Burchill said. “In the current situation, the next supreme leader will need to be strongly against the West and Iran’s neighbors.”

To read the full article, follow this link: http://www.washingtontimes.com/news/2017/may/1/obama-nuclear-deal-on-iran-presidential-ballot/

Tags:



  • Will Iraq Relapse Into a New Insurgency?
    Feature Blog

    Will Iraq Relapse Into a New Insurgency?

    Daesh’s cruel regime in its attempt to establish itself as a caliphate burnt very hotly and thankfully, its geographic domain has almost all but burnt out.  As Sara Zieger has pointed out in a recent TRENDS Insight, now is the time to develop solid plans for what to do...


  • Russia and OPEC: Will the Relation Last?
    Asia & the Pacific

    Russia and OPEC: Will the Relation Last?

    On August 28, 2017, the Wall Street Journal reported about the readiness of Russia and Saudi Arabia to push for the extension of the OPEC+ agreement beyond March 2018. This treaty involves both the OPEC and non-OPEC members who, in 2016, agreed to decrease their oil production in order...


  • Muddling Through: The World Bank & IMF Annual Meetings Confront a Leaderless World
    Asia & the Pacific

    Muddling Through: The World Bank & IMF Annual Meetings Confront a Leaderless World

    Representatives from almost 190 countries have met in Washington DC for the annual meetings of the International Monetary Fund (IMF) and the World Bank. These events, the pinnacle of the IMF/World Bank calendar, bring the world’s finance ministers and central bank governors together with representatives of business, civil society...


  • Concealing Cybercrimes: The Art of Anti-Forensics
    Asia & the Pacific

    Concealing Cybercrimes: The Art of Anti-Forensics

    Two years ago at a Security Summit in New York City attended by Chief Information Security Officers, Ginni Rometty, the IBM Corporation’s Chairman, President and Chief Executive Officer, delivered a stark warning about the threat from cybercrime stating: “We believe that data is the phenomenon of our time. It...