TRENDS RESEARCH & ADVISORY

Tuesday, May 2, 2017, 3:44 pm
Sign up for Newsletter

image

image
“Iranian presidential election to send message about Obama’s nuclear deal”

“Iranian presidential election to send message about Obama’s nuclear deal”

May 2, 2017 3:44 pm

The Washington Times interviews Dr. Ahmed Al Hamli and Dr. Richard Burchill:

But with Iran’s relations with its Sunni Muslim rivals across the region increasingly tense, many analysts say a major shift coming out of the May 19 vote is unlikely. Skeptics say the Assembly of Experts will find a way — regardless of who holds the Iranian presidency — to ensure that Ayatollah Khamenei’s confrontational foreign policy goals endure.

“The successor will be dedicated to the revolutionary agenda of Iran, which is about destabilizing the region,” said Ahmed Al Hamli, founder and president of Trends Research & Advisory, an Abu Dhabi-based think tank focused on Middle Eastern developments.

“When it comes to the Iranian system, while the constitution exists, the overall system is driven by the belief in a divine authority who controls all aspects of state, including who [Khamenei‘s] successor will be,” Mr. Al Hamli said in a recent interview.

“The next president of Iran is unlikely to have any decisive role to play if the view is less revolutionary than others,” said Richard Burchill, the head of research and engagement at Trends.

“We will spend a great deal of energy on guessing who the next supreme leader will be, but it is likely the matter has already been decided,” Mr. Burchill said. “In the current situation, the next supreme leader will need to be strongly against the West and Iran’s neighbors.”

To read the full article, follow this link: http://www.washingtontimes.com/news/2017/may/1/obama-nuclear-deal-on-iran-presidential-ballot/

Tags:



  • Security & Development in the Sahel region: Challenges & Opportunities for the G5 Sahel Joint Force
    Feature Blog

    Security & Development in the Sahel region: Challenges & Opportunities for the G5 Sahel Joint Force

    On 23 February 2018, the EU hosted the International High Level Conference on the Sahel in Brussels, to mobilize additional resources for the new joint military of the G5 Sahel countries – the G5 Sahel Joint force (FC-G5S) – with the aim of making it fully operational this year....


  • Principled Realism: Interests and Ideology
    Geography

    Principled Realism: Interests and Ideology

    President Donald Trump’s first National Security Strategy opens with a description of its underlying philosophy, “Principled Realism:” “An America First National Security Strategy is based on American principles, a clear-eyed assessment of U.S. interests, and a determination to tackle the challenges that we face.  It is a strategy of...


  • Continuity and Change in United States National Security Strategy
    Feature Blog

    Continuity and Change in United States National Security Strategy

    Over the past three months, the United States government has published three important strategic security documents: the National Security Strategy, the National Defense Strategy, and the Worldwide Threat Assessment.  The first two are published at irregular intervals, the first informing the second; the third is an annual collective intelligence...


  • The Youth Dimensions of International Peace and Security
    Asia & the Pacific

    The Youth Dimensions of International Peace and Security

    At a recent international event on the Gender Dimensions of International Peace and Security in the UAE, organised by TRENDS Research & Advisory, the inclusion of youth was a strong theme that emerged from the keynote speakers and panel members. The Women, Peace and Security Agenda is the product...